Tuesday, April 16, 2013

Afternoon Grain Market Commentary for 4/16/2013

Afternoon Comments 4/16/2013


Tuesday, April 16, 2013, 3:41 pm
Submitted by: Kyle Lehman


The old “turn around Tuesday” made an appearance today as corn and beans both put in a productive performance. Corn closed 16 cents higher on very little new news. Today’s action can be contributed to outside markets settling down after yesterday’s abysmal performance. The recent weather patterns may be providing some support as corn planting came in a 2% complete (the slowest pace since ’93) vs 7% on average. The 2% planted matches 1993, 2008, and 2009 which all but 1993 seeing above trendline yields (1993 of course is known for floods).
 
Soybeans also closed 16 cents higher as  pressure from outside markets was alleviated. Old crop prices have rallied 51 cents over the past week as old crop ending stocks remain tight and with processor margins not backing off there is a feeling demand still needs rationing. If planting delays persist new crop beans may see some pressure as trade will focus on corn acres turning to beans.
 
The 5 day QPF shows the Midwest receiving 1-4.5” of rain this week. Temperatures for central Iowa are to remain below normal until the end of the month (temperature graph below) with highs in the 40’s later this week.
 

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