Wednesday, May 1, 2013

FC Morning Grain Market Commentary for 5/1/2013

AM Comments 05/01/13


Wednesday, May 1, 2013, 8:16 am
Submitted by: Dustin Weiner


Good morning!
 
Our markets were under pressure last night and are still weaker this morning.  The drop in futures prices is being blamed on hedge pressure (farmer selling) and long liquidation (funds/specs selling). 
 
The extended weather outlook may not be quite as wet as forecasted yesterday which helps explain the sell-off in corn.  Although… it is the 1st of May and they are calling for 1-3” of snow for parts of Iowa (mainly North and NW).  This could eventually add support but the fact that the system stalled over the Western Corn Belt means folks in the East should get an extra day of planting. 
 
For soybeans – China’s PMI came in lower than last month and below expectations, indicating their economy is growing at a slower rate than thought.  China’s economy is of the utmost importance to soybean demand projections.  The world needs a strong Chinese economy for raw material prices to rise.
 
Overall it could be a light volume day today as Europe, China and other countries are out due to the May Day holiday.  This could help explain the violent moves we have seen in the night session.
 
Opening Calls
Corn down 7 to 10 cents
Soybeans down 15 to 25 cents
 

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