Thursday, May 2, 2013

FC Morning Market Commentary for May 2, 2013

Good morning!

Our markets were higher overnight, the 11-15 day forecast is showing a little more moisture meaning the potential planting window late next week could be a little shorter than thought.  It is safe to say
May 2, 2013. Western, IA raingage
that these extended weather forecasts are difficult to trade off of.  Wet one day, dry the next.  This force feeds volatility into our market and won’t end anytime soon.  Planting weather -> pollination weather -> August “soybean make-or-break” weather -> harvest weather – it isn’t going to stop anytime soon.  Step 1… get the crop in the ground.

The USDA released their export sales report this morning and it is a friendly input.  Wheat sales were good, corn sale were also good – coming in above the trade guesses.  Soybeans showed net cancellations (negative sales) for old crop which by itself would be bearish BUT the new crop sales numbers were big, making the report an overall bullish input.

Outside markets… also friendly this morning as crude oil is putting in a small recovery.  The big talk around the trade today will no doubt be all of the snow that has fallen across the Western Corn Belt. 

Opening Calls
Corn 7-9 cents higher
Soybeans 5-6 cents higher
 

Have a great day!

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